Tuesday Rain Totals -- 8 AM

Some needed rain has soaked the area through your Tuesday morning. Here area some of the initial reports as of 8 AM Tuesday. If you have a rainfall total and would like to share it with us e-mail me at cvickers@wtol.com and I would be happy to include it.

Mansfield: 1.00"
Lorain: 0.82"
Defiance: 0.61"
Metcalf Field: 0.47"
Toledo Express: 0.38"
Findlay: 0.35"
Adrian: 0.24"

The heaviest of the rain fell over our eastern counties, which were in the closest proximity to the center of the low pressure system that tracked east of the area. Updated totals still to come...

Tracking autumnal chill

It looks like a chunk of chilly Canadian air will sink southward into our area next weekend.  After achieving some 70s during the middle of this week, temps will drop by Saturday.  Highs this weekend should be below 60, and overnight lows Sunday morning have the potential to go slightly below 40°.  Sunday night into Monday will see lows in the mid 30s.

Here are some previous cooler highs & lows:

HIGHS:

• 64°  Saturday (Sept 25)


• 55°  May 18


• 52°  May 12

LOWS:

• 45°  Sept 5


• 42°  May 11


• 32°  May 10

Race For The Cure weather

Gusty Winds

Here are the peak wind gusts from around the area today:

54 mph  Metcalf Field

52 mph  Findlay

49 mph  Toledo Express, Defiance

48 mph  Lima

41 mph  Adrian, Hillsdale

Thursday's Heat

Losing Daylight

With the start of fall, we now have just slightly over 12 hours of daylight. (Even though equinox means equal day & equal night, since the earth is not a perfect circle, not all areas have exactly 12 hours of each on the first day of fall.)

In a few days, we will drop below 12 full hours of daylight as we continue to lose about 2-3 minutes of daylight each day.

Since the start of summer, roughly three hours of daylight has been lost.  We will lose another 3 hours of daylight between now and the start of winter on December 21. 

That will be the bottoming out of the daylight drop.  Once we pass December 21, we will begin to add daylight each day as we get closer to spring.

Another 90° Day

Warm Tuesday Temps

Highs Tuesday afternoon should reach the upper 80s & lower 90s, making it the warmest day since the beginning of the month.  Temps will stay above normal through the end of the work week.

Autumn Approaching

Even though highs will hit the 80s on Tuesday, fall officially begins Wednesday (Sept 22) at 11:09 p.m.  This is the autumnal equinox, marking when the direct rays of the sun fall over the equator.  Those direct rays migrate southward into the southern hemisphere as we get closer to winter.

Tropics Update

Igor, Julia & Karl are all hurricanes now.  Karl will make landfall in eastern Mexico on Friday afternoon.  Julia should move north and not affect any land.  Igor, however, could hit Bermuda on Sunday.

You can keep tabs on all the tropical activity with our Hurricane Tracker and the National Hurricane Center.

Strong Storms Hit The Area

A cold front caused some thunderstorms to track through our area between 2 & 4 pm today.  Most of the activity was just thunderstorms with heavy downpours, but some isolated severe weather was reported.

Strong winds caused downed power lines in Jerusalem township, 1" hail was reported in Arlington & Clyde, and 1.25" hail was reported in Cygnet.

Tropical Trio!

There are currently three named tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Basin…Hurricane Igor, Hurricane Julia and most recently Tropical Storm Karl. Both Igor and Julia appear to have reached their max intensity as major category 4 hurricanes. Forecasts call for favorable conditions the next few days which may sustain both at major hurricane status until increased wind shear and a turn to the northwest into cooler waters begins to weaken both tropical systems. Both these storms are being steered by an area of high pressure over the eastern Atlantic as many hurricanes in the Atlantic are.

Satellite picture of the tropics as of 11:30 AM on 9/15:


Tropical Storm Karl has made its initial landfall after recently developing in the past 24 hours off the Yucatan Peninsula. This storm is expected to reemerge in the Gulf of Mexico and may briefly become a category 1 hurricane before making landfall a second time south of the US border in Mexico.

Hurricane Igor

Update on Hurricane Igor as of Monday Morning:



Technical Discussion (NHC):
IGOR REMAINS A POWERFUL AND WELL ORGANIZED HURRICANE WITH A SYMMETRIC EYEWALL...CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -70 C...A 15 N MI CIRCULAR EYE...AND SPIRAL RAINBANDS. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS FROM ALL AGENCIES HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH FROM 0000 UTC...AND THEREFORE THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 130 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. AS IS COMMON FOR MAJOR HURRICANES IN FAVORABLE OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENTS...INTERNAL DYNAMICS WILL LIKELY GOVERN THE INTENSITY CHANGE OF IGOR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SINCE IT APPEARS THAT AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE HAS NOT YET BEGUN...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL ALLOW FOR A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING TODAY. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS SHOWN FOLLOWING THE TREND IN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. IGOR IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO AN AREA OF STRONGER SHEAR BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE A LITTLE MORE WEAKENING.

THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 11 KT...AND IS ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. IGOR IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT APPROACHES A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ATLANTIC. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE TROUGH FLATTENING IN 3 TO 4 DAYS...THERE ARE DISAGREEMENTS IN HOW MUCH...IF ANY...SUBTROPICAL RIDGING BUILDS IN THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH. THE ECMWF AND UKMET MODELS CONTINUE TO BUILD MORE RIDGING NORTH OF IGOR...RESULTING IN A TRACK FARTHER WEST THAN THE OTHER MODELS. OVERALL...THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT FROM THE LAST CYCLE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NUDGED IN THAT DIRECTION...BUT REMAINS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

Lows In The 40s

Saturday Highs

Saturday chill

A cold front that passed through the area Friday morning is allowing the coolest air since mid-May to take residence in the region.  Temps will fail to reach 70° in many locations.  Highs will rebound back into the mid 70s Sunday and low/mid 80s for Labor Day.

Hurricane Earl

Earl will continue tracking near the northeastern coast during Saturday, and then move into SE Canada before dissipating.  Check out our Hurricane Tracker and the National Hurricane Center for more details.

Fiona is another storm in the Atlantic, and she should gradually track north and away from any land area.  More tropical waves in the eastern Atlantic could develop over the next week.