June Almanac

Normal Highs & Lows:

June 1        77° / 54°

June 30     82° / 61°

Extremes:  104° / 32°

Normal precip:  3.80"

Summer solstice:  June 21 at 7:26 a.m.

8th Wettest May

May finished with a rain total of 5.91", which is 2.77" above normal.

This total makes May 2010 the 8th wettest on record.

Strong Storms for Memorial Day

An approaching cold front will continue to trigger clusters of storms the rest of the day into the evening.  Some storms will be strong with large hail and gusty winds.  Isolated severe storms will occur with 1"+ hail and winds of 58+ mph.

The storms will not move very quickly, and with the high humidity in place, torrential downpours will occur.  Those areas that see repeated storms may experience flooding in poor drainage areas.

Hurricane Season Outlook

From the National Weather Service:

An “active to extremely active” hurricane season is expected for the Atlantic Basin this year, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 

Across the entire Atlantic Basin for the six-month season (June 1 through November 30),  NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:

• 14 to 23 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including:


• 8 to 14 hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which:


• 3 to 7 could be major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)

 

“If this outlook holds true, this season could be one of the more active on record,” said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. “The greater likelihood of storms brings an increased risk of a landfall. In short, we urge everyone to be prepared.”

 The outlook ranges exceed the seasonal average of 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. Expected factors supporting this outlook are:

•  Upper atmospheric winds conducive for storms. Wind shear, which can tear apart storms, will be weaker since El Niño in the eastern Pacific has dissipated. Strong wind shear helped suppress storm development during the 2009 hurricane season.

 

•  Warm Atlantic Ocean water. Sea surface temperatures are expected to remain above average where storms often develop and move across the Atlantic. Record warm temperatures – up to four degrees Fahrenheit above average – are now present in this region.

 

• High activity era continues. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought favorable ocean and atmospheric conditions in sync, leading to more active hurricane seasons. Eight of the last 15 seasons rank in the top ten for the most named storms with 2005 in first place with 28 named storms.

 

“The main uncertainty in this outlook is how much above normal the season will be. Whether or not we approach the high end of the predicted ranges depends partly on whether or not La Niña develops this summer,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “At present we are in a neutral state, but conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for La Niña to develop.”

"FEMA is working across the administration and with our state and local partners to ensure we're prepared for hurricane season," said FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate. "But we can only be as prepared as the public, so it's important that families and businesses in coastal communities take steps now to be ready. These include developing a communications plan, putting together a kit, and staying informed of the latest forecasts and local emergency plans. You can't control when a hurricane or other emergency may happen, but you can make sure you're ready."

More information on individual and family preparedness can be found at http://www.Ready.gov and http://www.hurricanes.gov/prepare.

NOAA scientists will continue to monitor evolving conditions in the tropics and will issue an updated hurricane outlook in early August, just prior to what is historically the peak period for hurricane activity.

Holiday Weekend Outlook

The majority of the holiday weekend will be dry.  A cold front should spark a few thunderstorms on Memorial Day.  Highs will stay in the mid to upper 80s.  Humidity levels will rise Sunday into Monday.

Hottest Day Of The Year

The high temperature hit 90° at Toledo Express Airport on Wednesday.   This is the warmest temperature of the year thus far, and it's the warmest temp we have seen since it was 94° on August 16.

Normal high for Wednesday was 74°, and the record was 93° set in 1911.

National Safety Boating Week

National Safety Boating week runs into the upcoming holiday weekend.  Click here for a website all about boating safety.

We always have the updated marine forecasts and advisories on our weather page--just click on the boating icon below the 7-day forecast.

Allergy Report

Tree Pollen:      Low

Grass Pollen:    Moderate

Mold Spores:    Moderate

The counts should increase to high Wednesday, and very high Thursday.

Major Warm-Up

A big pattern change will occur early next week, and it will give us very warm temps much of the week.

Highs should make it into the lower 80s Sunday, then mid 80s Monday & Tuesday , then upper 80s by Wednesday.  These temps will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal.

The record highs look like they will hold for another year, but we will be kind of close (especially Tuesday).

Record highs:

91°  Sunday

90°  Monday

89°  Tuesday

93°  Wednesday

The warmest day of the year so far was 84° on April 15.  The last time the temp was above that was all the way to August 16, when it hit 94°.

We have only hit 80° on 5 days in April, and 2 days in May (prior to today).

May only produced 3 days with highs in the 80s the last 2 years, but in 2007, we had 9 days in the 80s and 4 days in the 90s.

Rain Stats Updated

A slow-moving storm will produce showers today into Tuesday.  Some of the rain will be quite steady at times.  Rainfall amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are possible.

Toledo Rain Stats:

May       3.23"     + 1.66"

Year   13.17"      + 1.93"

Tuesday Tornado in Clyde

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH

0541 PM     05/11/2010     

 TORNADO  IN  CLYDE, OHIO

SANDUSKY COUNTY

Possible tornado near Clyde.  A few trees knocked down and

a trailer moved off of its foundation. Numerous reports

of funnels.

Tornado confirmed in Wood cty

The National Weather Service in Cleveland put together a great summary page of Friday's severe weather here.   They also released this information regarding the damage Friday evening:

TORNADO CONFIRMED IN WOOD COUNTY

LOCATION...SOUTH OF NEW ROCHESTER IN WOOD COUNTY OHIO
DATE...MAY 7 2010
ESTIMATE TIMED...735 PM TO 740 PM
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF1
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...150 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...2 MILES

...SUMMARY...
An EF1 tornado touched down in rural Wood county near the
intersection of Portage and Emerson roads in Montgomery township.
The tornado traveled north northeast approximately two miles before
lifting near the intersection of Kenner Road and US Route 6 near
New Rochester.  Five barns were leveled along the damage path.
Several homes also sustained roof damage.  Two grain bins were also
destroyed.  Many trees and limbs were downed along the damage path

.DOWNBURST STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE CONFIRMED IN ERIE COUNTY
OHIO...

LOCATION...SANDUSKY IN ERIE COUNTY OHIO
DATE...MAY 7 2010
ESTIMATE TIMED...805 PM TO 815 PM
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...70 TO 90 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...50 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...7 MILES

...SUMMARY...
Downburst wind damage was observed in western Erie county.  The
damage path began southwest of Sandusky along Homegardner Road where
a barn was damaged and many trees toppled.  The damage path
continued northeast across state routes 2 and 101 and through the
city of Sandusky.  The most concentrated damage was along state
route 101 between state route 2 and the Sandusky city limits.  Many
trees and tree limbs were downed in this area along with 13 utility
poles.  A few homes and building sustained roof damage in this area
as well.  Damage in the city of Sandusky was sporadic and consisted
mainly of downed trees and limbs.

Iceland Sees Northern Lights & Ash

The volcano in Iceland continues to release steam and ash.  The Reuters news service released these pictures of the northern lights that appeared in back of the volcano.

http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/Northern-Lights-seen-Iceland-ash-plume/ss/events/sc/042310northernlight/im:/100423/ids_photos_wl/r1861452633.jpg/#photoViewer=/100423/ids_photos_wl/r1861452633.jpg

FRIDAY STORM REPORTS

In the reports below, E=estimated  M=measured, and  items like  6 S PERRYSBURG means the location is 6 miles south of Perrysburg

0712 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE
TREES DOWN ACROSS ROAD

0714 PM     1.75" HAIL             WATERVILLE
1.5 INCH RAIN PER HOUR

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S PERRYSBURG
BARN DESTROYED

0724 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE
TREE DOWN AND WIRES DOWN

0725 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S PERRYSBURG
MULTIPLE BARNS DESTROYED IN DOWLING TOWNSHIP.
MULTIPLE  HOMES DAMAGED. LARGE TREES DOWN.

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROSSFORD
DOWNED TREES

0734 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRAND RAPIDS
TREE DOWN

0734 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE
BUILDING DEBRIS BLOWN INTO THE ROAD

0736 PM     1" HAIL             6 S BOWLING GREEN
TELEPHONE POLES SNAPPED

0741 PM     1" HAIL             1 SE WOODVILLE

0744 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S PERRYSBURG
LARGE TREE DOWN

0745 PM     1.5" HAIL             GIBSONBURG

0746 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILLBURY
TREE DOWN

0748 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MILLBURY
TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE

0749 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TOLEDO
TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE

0750 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRYSBURG
POWER POLES DOWN 1 MI S US20/THOMPSON RD

0753 PM     1.75" HAIL             FREMONT
E1.75 INCH

0757 PM     3/4" HAIL             GIBSONBURG

0811 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OAK HARBOR
TREE DOWN

0815 PM     1.25" HAIL             HURON

0815 PM     1" HAIL             SANDUSKY
ESTIMATED 50 TO 60 MPH WINDS.

0825 PM     1" HAIL             VERMILION

0828 PM     2" HAIL             SANDUSKY

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HURON
MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED...CAR PORTS DOWN
POWER POLES DOWN.

0842 PM     DOWNBURST        CASTALIA
POWER POLES DOWN NEAR ST RTE 101 AND GARDNER ROAD

0920 PM     1" HAIL             2 W DUNKIRK

0956 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ADA
TREES DOWN.

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG   1 NE JEWELL/DEFIANCE CTY
VERY LARGE TREE SNAPPED AND ONTO A HOUSE NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF US 24 AND FLORY RD. SLIDING DOORS ON A
POLE BARN SUFFERED DAMAGE AS WELL.

0649 PM     TSTM WND DMG     AYERSVILLE/DEFIANCE CTY
POWER LINES DOWNED ON PAINTER RD. THREE HOUSES ALSO HAD
TREES FALL ONTO THEM WITH NO OBSERVABLE DAMAGE TO THE
STRUCTURES.

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE TEXAS        HENRY COUNTY
TWO CAMPERS WERE ROLLED OVER AT THE WAGNER
CAMPGROUNDS...WEST OF GRAND RAPIDS. A BOAT ON A TRAILER
WAS PUSHED INTO THE BACK OF A PICKUP TRUCK.

0658 PM     2.5" HAIL             3 S HOLGATE
ALSO ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS UP TO 75 MPH.

0712 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNE BELMORE
1 MILE EAST OF DESHLER. TREES DOWN ACROSS CSX TRACKS
NEAR COUNTY ROAD 2.

0846 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S ELIDA
M62 MPH

0859 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE LIMA
ESTIMATED 70-75 MPH GUSTS...MULTIPLE POWER LINES DOWN.

0900 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE YODER
M58 MPH

0652 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ADRIAN
A TREE FELL ONTO A DODGE PICKUP TRUCK ON SOUTH MAIN
STREET. A LARGE BRANCH ALSO BLOCKED ONE SOUTHBOUND LANE
OF MAIN STREET.

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE ADRIAN
NUMEROUS TREES...LARGE BRANCHES...AND POWER LINES
REPORTED DOWN.

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ADRIAN
TWO 3 FOOT DIAMETER OAK TREES REPORTED DOWN ON BROAD ST
AND CHESTNUT ST

Tornado Watch Issued

A tornado watch has been issued for the viewing area until late this evening.  We will continue to monitor the storms and have updates on News 11 and wtol.com/weather

Friday Storms -- afternoon update

The first round of storms has moved north of the area.  Clouds will break for sunshine and temps will jump.  The next line of storms will be here late day into the evening.  We continue with a moderate risk of severe weather.

Stay tuned for more updates.  The latest watches, warnings and Storm Track 11 Doppler are on the main weather page.  We will continue to update the forecast on that page.  We will try to update the blog as time permits.

Friday - Morning Update

Not much change to the post below -- currently watching the first wave of storms track through and north of the area.  There should be a bit of a lull midday and early PM before another round of storms erupts late this afternoon into this evening.

Storms later today should be a bit more widespread than they were Wednesday.  The is a moderate risk of severe weather across NW Ohio, and a slight risk across lower Michigan.  The reason for this is that a warm front will sit almost on the state line by late day.  Areas near and south of the front will turn very unstable.

Severe threat is for large hail and strong winds.  We may even have a tornado watch issued before evening.  All of the storms, whether severe or not, will contain heavy rainfall.  Repeated storms could create drainage problems.

More Storms Friday

Another system will move into the area Friday, and should produce more widespread showers and thunderstorms.  We will probably have a wave of storms in the morning to midday, and then another round of storms in the late afternoon and early evening.

These storms will produce heavy downpours, but some of them will be quite strong.  Large hail and strong winds are possible until late evening.

The weekend will be much calmer, but also a lot cooler.  Some frost will be around Sunday morning.

Wednesday Storm Pictures

We have a category on our See/Snap/Send page called "May 5 Storms".   You can access it directly by clicking here.  There were many pictures submitted of clouds and hail.  Thanks to all who sent stuff in!

Wednesday Storms

A cold front will pass through the area this evening.  Ahead of the front, scattered thunderstorms will develop.  After a tranquil morning, clouds will increase towards midday.  Showers and some thunderstorms are likely this afternoon, especially mid/late afternoon into this evening.

Storms will be scattered, so not all areas may see rain.  However, the storms that do develop could produce high wind gusts.

Things will dry out tonight and Thursday before a bigger storm brings rain and t-storms to the area Friday.

Monday Storm Pix

Many viewers sent in pictures from last night's thunderstorms. (Thank you!)

They ranged from wind-blown tree damage andominous clouds to rainbows and gorgeous sunsets.

If you want to send us pictures or video, check out the See It, Snap It, Send It page.  You can also email them to us:  pics@wtol.com

Pollen Count

Rain from the weekend washed some of the tree pollen out.  For awhile, the levels had dropped into the moderate category.  By the end of today, levels will be back in the high category....and then the very high category by Wednesday.

Weekend Rainfall

Toledo Rainfall:

Saturday:   0.27"

Sunday:      0.54"    (0.24" fell in less than 30 minutes during the evening)

Total:     0.81" 

Cities northwest of Toledo picked up higher totals Sunday and Sunday night.