Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Supermoon Total Lunar Eclipse

A total lunar eclipse of a 'supermoon' blood moon will create an unworldly and eerie sight this Sunday night September 27th.  



A Supermoon occurs when the moon reaches its closest approach to Earth, and appears abnormally large and bright as a result. The moon will appear 14% larger and 30% brighter as it reaches its closest point to earth at 225,622 miles. This Sunday's lunar eclipse of the full moon at its closest point to earth is exceptionally rare with the the last supermoon eclipse occurring in 1982. The next supermoon lunar eclipse won't take place until 2033.

Here is the information you need to know on how you can view the supermoon lunar eclipse in our area:


Partial Eclipse Begins: 9:07 PM
Full Eclipse Begins: 10:11 PM
Max Full Eclipse: 10:47 PM
Full Eclipse Ends: 11:23 PM
Partial Eclipse Ends: 12:27 PM




The east coast and central part of the United States will be in the absolute prime location for viewing the lunar eclipse. Toledo an the entire viewing area will be in perfect view of the entire event.
From Timeanddate.com


Utlimately, The supermoon lunar eclipse is a confluence of three events: a full moon; a lunar eclipse and lunar perigee (moon is in the closest part of its orbit to Earth).  The exceptionally rare event will not happen again until 2033.  The weather into Sunday evening will be clear and dry possibly offering a once in a lifetime view of this celestial event!

~Meteorologist Chris Vickers

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Weekend Waterspouts

Cool air spilled in the area over the weekend leading to scattered showers -- these early season cold snaps often lead to waterspouts on the warm-watered Great Lakes. Here are a few images from near Vermillion Saturday: 
Credit: Chris Adams





Credit: Jason Steckel


Credit: Giovanna Reising


Thursday, September 3, 2015

60% Chance of Rain Today?

What does it mean when your meteorologist says 60% chance of rain?

It means that at any given point in our area there is a 60% chance of rain falling in the given time period.  In other words 6 times out of 10 given the weather set up you will get rain at your location.  This % approach is often used in the case of scattered convective precipitation like today.  Check out this image from early afternoon Thursday...much of the area is dry while it is pouring along the Sandusky/Seneca county line...


This brings me to a couple things I hear quite often.

"You said 30% chance of rain and it is POURING HERE!"
The % chance has nothing to do with how heavy the rain may be.

"You said 90% chance of rain and it only rained for 20 minutes.  BIG DEAL!"
The % chance has nothing to do with how long it might rain.

Hope this helps explain the POP (Probability Of Precipitation) in our forecasts.

Robert Shiels.

Wednesday, September 2, 2015

A Second Chance at Summer!

A Second Chance at Summer!

The summer of 2015 will be remembered as cool with good reason.  Each month June, July and August had temperatures well below normal readings.  Here is just one way to look at it.  A count of high temperatures in the 60s, 70s, 80s and 90s from June 1st to August 31st:


So here we are in September and the heat is on - along with very high humidity levels.  The normal high temperature during the first week of September is in the upper 70s.  Check out highs for Wednesday, September 2nd:


Not quite 90° in Toledo thanks to thundershowers moving through at midday.  So will we hit 90° Thursday?  Probably not, thanks to scattered showers and thundershowers.  Thursday should be a repeat of Wednesday's weather:


Highs will reach the mid and upper 80s by early afternoon.  Showers and thundershowers will keep highs below 90°.  The humidity level remains very high for September.

This pattern will not break until Wednesday Sept. 9th.

-Robert Shiels

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

Summer is Over!


Well not exactly over.  The first week of September will rival the warmest weather of the entire year.  Hazy, hot and humid "mid summer" weather will be expected through the Labor Day Weekend.

Upper 80s to near 90° through Labor Day

 Welcome now to Fall -- Meteorologically speaking summer consists of the months of June, July and August.  These three summer months make up the warmest three months of the year.  The summer of 2015 will be remembered as a "Cool" and "Wet" summer.  The temperature only reached 90° or warmer twice this summer in late July.  Next to 1908, where we never recorded a 90° reading that summer, this was the latest date in recorded history to reach 90°.

Summer 2015 Scorecard

The more telling numbers to describe this summer was the cooler weather.  An astounding 7 days over summer only had highs in the 60s.

June 1st
June 2nd
June 27th
July 8th 
July 9th
August 25th
August 26th

The entire summer averaged -2.0 Below Average, statistically, this is a very significant margin. In fact, all three of the summer months were Below Normal.

June Average Temp: 68.0°
Below Normal: -1.5°

July Average Temp: 70.7°
Below Normal: -2.8°

August Average Temp: 69.9°
Below Normal: -1.6°

The overall summer averaged well above average with rainfall:

June Rainfall: 7.22"
Above Normal: +3.65"

July Rainfall: 6.16"
Above Normal: +2.93"

August Rainfall: 3.05"
Below Normal: -0.10"

Summer is "officially" in the books, but plenty of summer like weather lies ahead.  Soon to follow will be the cooler and crisp fall weather that many look forward to feeling!

~ Follow Meteorologist Chris Vickers on Facebook
~Follow Chris on Twitter

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Tropical Storm Erika


For the second time in the past few days, a storm has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean. Hurricane Danny has now faded and is gone. In his place, Tropical Storm Erika has formed. 



As of 8 am Tuesday morning, Erika had winds of 45mph and is expected to slowly strengthen over the next 5-7 days. The SE US, especially Florida and the Carolina's will need to watch this one. 



IF (still a very big IF) Erika made landfall as a hurricane on the US shore it would be the first time in nearly 10 years. 




Download the StormTrack Weather App, you can track Erika from your phone with the latest tracking information:

 iPhone: http://bit.ly/1tEoHlD
Android: http://bit.ly/1zua7Ag











Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Perseid Meteor Shower Peak

It's the brightest and most robust meteor shower of the entire year...the peak of the Perseid Meteor shower is here!  If you want to see it, expect it to be quite easy.  Find a dark area tonight away from city lights and gaze away into the night sky.  Better viewing will be after midnight. The "radiant" or point of origin will be in the northeast sky, however the meteors will streak in various directions across the sky from there. 

2015 Perseid Meteor Shower

The cause of the annual Perseid meteor showers is the debris field from comet Swift-Tuttle.  The orbit of earth through this field is approximately July 17th through August 24th.
Earth's orbit passes through the comet debris of Swift-Tuttle

More detailed reading and information can be found HERE

~Meteorologist Chris Vickers