Thursday, February 10, 2011

Major Pattern Change -- Warmer!





Our air has been coming in from the northwest, allowing the bitter arctic air of Canada to continously keep things frigid.  However, an overall pattern change will occur in the next few days, allowing temperatures to surge back above normal by Sunday.

The air flow will come in from the west, allowing the milder Pacific air to be more of an influence on our temperatures.

Normal high for this point of the month is in the upper 30s.

Bitterly Cold Morning

Lows temps hit the lowest level of the winter in many spots this morning.  No new records were set, but temperatures were way below the normal low of 18°.

Saturday, February 5, 2011

Updated Snow Stats

Thanks to the recent snows, our monthly total has jumped significantly above normal.  In fact, a "normal" February produces about 8.5" of snow, and Toledo Express has already surpassed that...not even one full week into the month.

Cold & Unsettled

After an accumulating snow today, more is on the way for late Sunday into Monday morning.

Following that will be another surge of arctic air, keeping highs in the teens.  Lows Wednesday & Thursday morning could dip below zero.  Another shot of arctic air will reinforce the chill Thursday through Friday morning.

However....it looks like there will be a decent jump in temps for next weekend.  Highs will return above normal (and above freezing).

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Wednesday - 1 pm update

The leftover snow is turning very scattered, and will continue diminishing the rest of the day.  The clouds have even broken up for some peeks of sun.

It will still be a bit breezy, so some additional blowing and drifting snow is possible.

This shall be the last forecast update for this storm on the blog.

Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Tuesday Evening Storm Update

Round one of the storm exited the area early this morning.  Round two hits this evening through tomorrow.

There is still going to be three distinct zones of concern:  the first will be southern Michigan.  This area will see the maximum amount of snowfall.  Additional amounts will range from 6-10" close to the stateline, to possibly exceeding a foot tonight into Wednesday in northern Hillsdale and Lenawee counties.

The second zone will be areas well south and southeast, where snow will transition to sleet and freezing rain and provide a glaze of ice in excess of 1/4 inch.  This will fall on top of the snow on the ground, creating a sheet of ice on the snow pack.  Areas from BG & Fremont and points southward.

The third zone lies in between the other two -- moderate to possibly heavy snow with the potential for some sleet and freezing rain.  Greater Toledo down to around Bowling Green could see 3-6" inches of snow, along with some sleet and perhaps a light glaze of freezing rain.

We will continue to update the forecast as the storm gets closer.  A simple shift of the mixed precip north or south by even just 20-50 miles will greatly alter snow accumulations.